Orbit: Crypto Community Feed

Can't keep rising! Really can't keep rising!! Get ready for a bigger correction soon!! It has already risen so much, it probably won't go up anymore Earlier, everyone was pumping like there was no cost First, look at $ZEC Now around 1446 Dropped more than 2 points today 24-hour high was 1599 Lowest directly smashed to 1355 After the previous high of 1695 was made This recent wave is obviously not as smooth as before Especially on the 4-hour level WMA5 is at 1431 WMA10 at 1465 WMA20 has already reached 1519 Price is now grinding back and forth below the short-term moving averages This is not like before Where a drop would immediately be pushed back up And it has already dropped about 11% in 7 days Indicating that high-level chips are indeed starting to loosen I'm now watching the 1450–1520 range If the rebound can't recover this range Then testing 1355 again later Is not surprising at all If 1355 breaks again This correction might not be over yet Next, look at $AAVE This guy is really ridiculous today Now around 171 Intraday it rose nearly 15% Highest at 173.36 4-hour moving averages are still in a standard bullish alignment Looks really strong But the stronger it looks The less I want to chase Double-digit gains in a day are already there Around 173 is today's high again If you ask me to chase the last leg now I really can't bring myself to do it If it's really strong Let it stabilize above 170 first If it can't break through Such a sharp pull-up followed by a retracement usually isn't gentle Same with $PUMP Now around 0.00546 Up more than 7% today Highest already touched 0.005564 Previously pumped from just over 0.001 all the way to now Has multiplied who knows how many times Now approaching previous highs again What usually happens at this position? Everyone thinks it will break through soon But then it gets pressed down And all the chasing buyers get trapped So now I'm watching around 0.0055 If it can hold I acknowledge its strength If it can't hold Then watch when it falls back below 0.005 What really bothers me Is still the $BTC short position Opened around 74958 Now marked at 84116 50x full position Floating loss already 61,000 U Account shows -610% loss This bull run is really torturing the bears to death But liquidation is still around 104494 So I'm not rushing to cut losses recklessly But I've learned to be smart now A rise doesn't mean an immediate fall A drop doesn't mean the trend reverses immediately I'll wait for the market to confirm itself The most obvious now is Altcoins have started serious divergence $ZEC is pulling back from highs $AAVE is still pumping crazily $PUMP continues to push previous highs In this kind of market, usually they don't rise together later It's whoever is weak that falls behind first So my thinking is simple now Watch if $ZEC can stand back above 1450–1520 If not, continue watching 1355 Watch if $AAVE has sustained buying above 173 Watch if $PUMP can truly break 0.0055 For $BTC, I'll keep waiting for when the highs start to loosen Earlier everyone was pumping like there was no cost Now it's time to see Who will be the first to really not hold on!! When the real correction starts I feel this time it won't just be a simple drop of a couple of candles #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据

Top 5 Rare Coins in the Crypto Circle: The Trading Philosophy of Buying During Downturn Disappointment and Selling During Upward Euphoria Targets: BTC, ETH, SOL, ZEC, UNI Core Philosophy: Contrarian thinking, against human nature. The market crowd's sentiment often serves as a contrary indicator for the market trend. 1. Buy when prices drop and no one is interested, when the market is disappointed When the market keeps pulling back and is filled with pessimism: Retail investors keep complaining and bearish, voices of “the market is over, and a bigger drop is coming” are everywhere, many people cut losses and exit, afraid to watch the market anymore. At this time, the fundamentals of the five rare infrastructure coins have not collapsed substantially; the decline is mostly due to emotional panic and short-term capital withdrawal. The value at this stage: 1. Prices are suppressed by emotions, quality chips appear at a discount, allowing for lower holding costs; 2. Market disappointment means a large release of short positions, and selling pressure gradually exhausts; 3. Only those who dare to position during public fear can obtain cheap chips early in the bull market. It is not about blindly buying during a drop; the premise is that the target itself has long-term value, which is the standard for these five rare coins: scarce supply, leading ecological technology, high strategic application value, market consensus, and representing long-term industry trends. Only position in quality targets during pullbacks and public disappointment, not bottom-fishing in junk coins. 2. Sell when the market is euphoric and complacent during the rise When the market keeps soaring and the whole network is celebrating: Short videos and communities are all showing profits, ordinary people around are entering the market, stories of sudden wealth are spreading everywhere, and everyone is convinced the market will keep rising forever—this is the emotional peak in the mid-to-late bull market. Characteristics at this time: 1. Market optimism has fully priced in future benefits, and all good news has been realized; 2. A large amount of new chasing capital enters, while early long-term funds and whales take the opportunity to sell chips in batches to realize profits; 3. Valuations are pushed extremely high by emotions, odds drop sharply, and downside risk accumulates quickly. It is not about clearing all positions at once but gradually taking profits as the market gets overheated. When others are greedy, I am cautious; when others are celebrating, I exit. 3. The underlying logic of this philosophy Price is essentially determined by value + market sentiment together. - Short-term price is dominated by sentiment and capital games; long-term price follows fundamental value. - Public sentiment always swings cyclically: fear → doubt → caution → optimism → euphoria → panic. - Contrarian trading means using the public sentiment cycle to position in quality assets at emotional lows and realize gains at emotional highs.