
#HammackBacksHike
About HammackBacksHike
Fed official Hammack said policy is not restrictive, inflation is still too high, and action is needed. After August payrolls came in at 162K, CME futures lifted September hike odds from about 50% to 58.6%, and Citi pushed its first cut call from Oc 2026 to Jun 2027. On the other side, Allianz IM's Charlie Ripley notes Aug wage growth slowed to a yearly low of 3.09%, turning real wage growth negative, while Trump demands cuts. August CPI lands Sep 11 and the FOMC meets Sep 15 to 16.
Nejžhavější
Nejnovější
HammackBacksHike Oblíbené příspěvky
Bitcoin Is Entering the Most Important Week of September
Bitcoin is back near $80K, but the next move may have less to do with crypto and more to do with the Federal Reserve.
The August jobs report changed the setup.
U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs, far above expectations, while unemployment held at 4.1%. Markets responded by increasing the probability of a September Fed rate hike to roughly 59%. Treasury yields moved higher and $BTC slipped below $80K.
That makes this week extremely important.
The next major test is U.S. inflation.
CPI arrives on September 11, followed by the FOMC meeting on September 15–16. The market is now trying to answer one question:
Will inflation give the Fed enough reason to tighten, or will softer price pressure allow policymakers to stay on hold?
My radar:
$BTC — Can it reclaim $80K and eventually challenge the recent $82K area?
$ETH — Does Ethereum outperform if rate expectations ease?
$SOL — Still one of the higher-beta majors if liquidity conditions improve.
$XRP — Institutional demand remains important, but macro liquidity still matters.
$BNB $SUI $APT $AVAX — Watch whether higher-beta L1s continue attracting capital.
$LINK $ONDO — Infrastructure and RWA narratives could benefit if institutional liquidity expands.
$AAVE $UNI $PENDLE $CRV — DeFi remains highly sensitive to changes in liquidity and risk appetite.
$TAO $RENDER $FET — Higher-beta sectors will likely react strongly to any macro shift.
$ARB $OP — L2s need broader risk appetite to regain momentum.
The interesting part is that institutional demand has not disappeared.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted roughly $731M on September 3, their strongest single-day inflow since January.
So the market is facing a conflict:
Strong ETF demand on one side.
Tighter rate expectations on the other.
That is why I am watching macro before chasing individual altcoins.
If CPI comes in softer than expected, the current rate narrative could reverse quickly.
#BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #HammackBacksHike #ZECRanks10thByMarketCap
#Fed officials are turning more hawkish, with September rate-hike odds rising to 58.6%.
Strong payrolls have shifted expectations, while softer wage growth keeps the outlook uncertain.
September CPI is now the key catalyst: • Soft CPI → BTC could target $80K–$82K • Hot CPI → BTC risks $75K or lower
CPI could determine the Fed’s next move. 🔎#BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #BTCGoldCorr+0.50#BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #HammackBacksHike #ZECRanks10thByMarketCap
#Fed officials are turning more hawkish, with September rate-hike odds rising to 58.6%.
Strong payrolls have shifted expectations, while softer wage growth keeps the outlook uncertain.
September CPI is now the key catalyst: • Soft CPI → BTC could target $80K–$82K • Hot CPI → BTC risks $75K or lower
CPI could determine the Fed’s next move. 🔎
#BTCGoldCorr+0.50
#HammackBacksHike #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC

#Fed officials are turning more hawkish, with September rate-hike odds rising to 58.6%.
Strong payrolls have shifted expectations, while softer wage growth keeps the outlook uncertain.
September CPI is now the key catalyst: • Soft CPI → BTC could target $80K–$82K • Hot CPI → BTC risks $75K or lower
CPI could determine the Fed’s next move. 🔎#BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #HammackBacksHike #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack leaning toward tighter policy caught my attention because the market has spent so much time debating when rates might come down. A Fed official still seeing a case for higher rates is a reminder that the inflation fight may not be completely finished.
Personally, I think the important part isn’t whether one policymaker wants a hike. It’s whether more Fed officials start moving in the same direction. If inflation stays sticky while the labor market remains relatively resilient, the argument for keeping policy tight becomes harder for markets to ignore.
That’s why I’m watching Treasury yields and rate expectations closely. Markets can price in easier policy very quickly, but those expectations can reverse just as fast when the data or the Fed’s tone changes.
#HammackBacksHike $BTC
🚨 The Fed may be running out of excuses.
One Fed official is now openly arguing that rates need to go higher because current policy still isn’t doing enough to bring inflation down.
Then nonfarm payrolls came in at 162K, and suddenly the odds of a September hike jumped to 58.6%.
In other words, the market may already be doing the Fed’s job for it.
But here’s where it gets interesting…
#DailyOrbit

The Fed just got a stronger case for a hike.
August payrolls came in at 162K, far above expectations, while unemployment held at 4.1%.
The September hike odds jumped back toward 60%.
But the story isn't over.
Wage growth is cooling, and next week's CPI could still change everything before the Sep. 15–16 FOMC.
**If CPI comes hot, does $BTC face another selloff? #HammackBacksHike #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC
PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST POSTED THIS!!
“We should have the LOWEST RATE of any country in the World”
$TRUMP


Interest rate hike expectations heat up, the market oscillates at a high level waiting for direction
Real-time data
After the non-farm payroll data greatly exceeded expectations, Federal Reserve officials took a hawkish stance, raising the probability of a rate hike in September to 58.6%. BTC current price is 79784, weekend trading is light, overall consolidating at a high level, with strong market wait-and-see sentiment.#OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC #BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #NorwaySWFEyes80BUSTCut

#Fed officials are turning more hawkish, with September rate-hike odds rising to 58.6%.
Strong payrolls have shifted expectations, while softer wage growth keeps the outlook uncertain.
September CPI is now the key catalyst: • Soft CPI → BTC could target $80K–$82K • Hot CPI → BTC risks $75K or lower
CPI could determine the Fed’s next move. 🔎#BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #BTCGoldCorr+0.50 #HammackBacksHike #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC