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US inflation and spending data could test Fed rate expectations. Sep CPI and core CPI are due Oct 14 at 8:30 am ET; Sep PPI, retail sales and weekly jobless claims follow Oct 15 at the same time. September Fed minutes pointed to a possible further hike this year, though timing remains uncertain. Hot inflation and resilient sales could lift October hike odds; softer core inflation could support a pause. Which data point will move Treasuries, the dollar, gold and BTC most?